Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1042 | 48% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1041 | 46% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1084 | 63% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1011 | 1072 | 41% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1024 | 63% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 980 | 56% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1051 | 1144 | 37% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1254 | 14% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1167 | 48% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1136 | 52% | 2008-10-12 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1074.1 vs 1069.3 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).