Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Canadian): 6
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1011 | 51% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1015 | 1061 | 43% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1195 | 938 | 81% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 1043 | 47% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1050 | 1066 | 48% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1203 | 18% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1195 | 45% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1062 | 1080 | 47% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1160 | 1033 | 68% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1071.2 vs 1063.8 has a 51.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).