A Pleasant Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1153 | 39% | 2025-03-29 | Won |
| 1010 | 1002 | 51% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
| 1027 | 1002 | 54% | 2023-01-16 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 996 | 1015 | 47% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 1015 | 996 | 53% | 2019-02-11 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
| 1228 | 1227 | 50% | 2015-09-29 | Lost |
| 951 | 1055 | 35% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2013-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-01-09 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1224 | 35% | 2011-11-20 | Lost |
| 1108 | 988 | 67% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 1047 | 38% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2010-01-12 | Won |
| 906 | 1152 | 20% | 2009-10-26 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1083 | 70% | 2009-08-31 | Lost |
| 870 | 1005 | 31% | 2009-02-12 | Won |
| 1224 | 1056 | 72% | 2009-01-03 | Tied |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1033.5 vs 1049.8 has a 47.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).