A Pleasant Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1009 | 1068 | 42% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
1026 | 1068 | 44% | 2023-01-16 | Lost |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
1064 | 996 | 60% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
996 | 1064 | 40% | 2019-02-11 | Won |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
1141 | 1211 | 40% | 2015-09-29 | Lost |
952 | 1067 | 34% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
1060 | 984 | 61% | 2013-08-21 | Lost |
984 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-01-09 | Won |
984 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
1112 | 1307 | 25% | 2011-11-20 | Lost |
1094 | 988 | 65% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
963 | 970 | 49% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
1043 | 1040 | 50% | 2010-01-12 | Won |
913 | 1157 | 20% | 2009-10-26 | Lost |
1141 | 1080 | 59% | 2009-08-31 | Lost |
871 | 1000 | 32% | 2009-02-12 | Won |
1307 | 1022 | 84% | 2009-01-03 | Tied |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1049.1 has a 46.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).