Fitzgerald's Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1106 | 51% | 2024-07-04 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1208 | 24% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-10-22 | Lost |
| 964 | 1021 | 42% | 2016-08-03 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 951 | 1054 | 36% | 2014-01-13 | Won |
| 1095 | 987 | 65% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 918 | 942 | 47% | 2011-08-12 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1169 | 46% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1010 | 56% | 2011-01-09 | Won |
| 1090 | 1143 | 42% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
| 988 | 1093 | 35% | 2009-04-05 | Won |
| 972 | 1002 | 46% | 2008-09-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1105 | 58% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1049.4 has a 49.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).