Fitzgerald's Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1086 | 1086 | 50% | 2024-07-04 | Lost |
1283 | 1124 | 71% | 2020-10-22 | Lost |
979 | 1026 | 43% | 2016-08-03 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
952 | 1067 | 34% | 2014-01-13 | Won |
1107 | 987 | 67% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
1115 | 953 | 72% | 2011-08-12 | Lost |
1103 | 1103 | 50% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
1043 | 1093 | 43% | 2011-01-09 | Won |
1089 | 1214 | 33% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
988 | 1115 | 32% | 2009-04-05 | Won |
972 | 1000 | 46% | 2008-09-27 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1041.6 has a 52.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).