Marsh Madness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (4 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 5
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 950 | 1050 | 36% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
| 1195 | 1163 | 55% | 2013-10-22 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1254 | 21% | 2012-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1117.3 has a 39.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).