The Bulge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 9
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1161 | 1146 | 52% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 916 | 1139 | 22% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 892 | 1206 | 14% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 932 | 1075 | 31% | 2017-07-01 | Won |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 982 | 63% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1094 | 64% | 2009-09-26 | Won |
| 1061 | 1187 | 33% | 2009-09-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2009-05-19 | Won |
| 1040 | 613 | 92% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1083 | 1023 | 59% | 2009-01-19 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1041 vs 1028.7 has a 51.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).