The Bulge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (American): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
1009 | 1006 | 50% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
916 | 1142 | 21% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
892 | 1211 | 14% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2017-07-01 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
1068 | 982 | 62% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
865 | 1022 | 29% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
1141 | 1089 | 57% | 2009-09-26 | Won |
1055 | 614 | 93% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1012.6 vs 1025.7 has a 48.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).