The Head of the Mace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (12 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 42
Defender wins (Polish): 52
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
959 | 959 | 50% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
1071 | 1103 | 45% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
1014 | 1171 | 29% | 2016-11-08 | Won |
955 | 987 | 45% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
1021 | 1019 | 50% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
800 | 963 | 28% | 2011-12-03 | Won |
1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
1047 | 1227 | 26% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
1018 | 1027 | 49% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
877 | 1057 | 26% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
1030 | 1006 | 53% | 2008-09-09 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 983.2 vs 1051.3 has a 40.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).