Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1139 | 1069 | 60% | 2024-07-02 | Won |
1020 | 924 | 63% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
986 | 1037 | 43% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
917 | 935 | 47% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
919 | 1003 | 38% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2018-02-25 | Lost |
985 | 1003 | 47% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
1047 | 1228 | 26% | 2009-03-09 | Lost |
1063 | 1022 | 56% | 2009-01-06 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2008-08-12 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1011.2 vs 1051.1 has a 44.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).