Waltzing the Matildas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 1
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1077 | 50% | 2026-05-24 | Won |
| 1040 | 946 | 63% | 2024-10-08 | Lost |
| 1208 | 900 | 85% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 902 | 1434 | 4% | 2015-05-06 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 694 | 1040 | 12% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1025 | 79% | 2008-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1028.3 vs 1081.3 has a 42.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).