Winter War (Talvisota)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (Finland): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2026-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2024-09-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1049 vs 990.5 has a 58.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).