Winter War (Talvisota)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (Finland): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2026-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-09-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1016 vs 975 has a 55.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).