Clash At Ponyri
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (11 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
943 | 919 | 53% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
969 | 942 | 54% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
1073 | 1115 | 44% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
1242 | 1183 | 58% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
1055 | 992 | 59% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
1052 | 1097 | 44% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
1169 | 1307 | 31% | 2010-08-04 | Won |
1012 | 1110 | 36% | 2010-03-15 | Tied |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2008-02-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1059 vs 1081.5 has a 46.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).