Clash At Ponyri
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
943 | 919 | 53% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
969 | 1020 | 43% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
1073 | 1094 | 47% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
1242 | 1132 | 65% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
1054 | 994 | 59% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
1051 | 1097 | 43% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
1169 | 1307 | 31% | 2010-08-04 | Won |
970 | 1110 | 31% | 2010-03-15 | Tied |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2008-02-06 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1097.6 has a 45.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).