The Last Fifteen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1070 | 44% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-12-15 | Won |
| 876 | 1040 | 28% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
| 996 | 1071 | 39% | 2013-02-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 1040 | 1264 | 22% | 2009-07-03 | Won |
| 1174 | 1061 | 66% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1066.9 has a 43.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).