Hammer and Nail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 977 | 60% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 992 | 1133 | 31% | 2020-02-20 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1216 | 27% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1102 | 885 | 78% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1047 | 48% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1070 | 70% | 2008-05-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1127 | 49% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1064.8 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).