Hammer and Nail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1087 | 1010 | 61% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
1011 | 1074 | 41% | 2020-02-20 | Tied |
1003 | 1207 | 24% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
896 | 933 | 45% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
1135 | 997 | 69% | 2008-05-15 | Lost |
1120 | 1097 | 53% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1024.8 vs 1056 has a 45.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).