ASL Scenario Archive

Eviction Notice

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (Russian): 17

Defender wins (German): 22

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
966	959	51%	2025-03-02	Won
1143	1134	51%	2025-02-20	Lost
1008	1008	50%	2024-01-25	Lost
904	1160	19%	2024-01-15	Lost
995	1011	48%	2022-03-12	Won
1025	1031	49%	2022-03-12	Won
1064	905	71%	2021-01-21	Won
1127	1113	52%	2019-03-19	Lost
1195	1035	72%	2018-10-11	Won
1005	877	68%	2018-07-07	Won
1002	1004	50%	2018-06-23	Won
967	942	54%	2018-05-12	Lost
987	1033	43%	2018-05-05	Lost
1039	1093	42%	2018-03-20	Lost
1061	1195	32%	2017-11-19	Won
976	945	54%	2017-11-19	Lost
1048	1195	30%	2017-11-15	Lost
830	1223	9%	2017-07-12	Lost
1048	1195	30%	2015-12-04	Lost
968	1137	27%	2015-09-25	Lost
1038	1020	53%	2014-12-05	Lost
899	966	40%	2014-03-29	Won
998	1004	49%	2014-03-04	Lost
933	870	59%	2012-03-04	Won
870	1098	21%	2011-01-27	Won
977	1018	44%	2010-10-30	Lost
1086	1018	60%	2010-08-24	Lost
1018	852	72%	2010-08-19	Won
861	1085	22%	2010-07-01	Won
1023	984	56%	2010-01-16	Lost
992	1048	42%	2009-05-03	Lost
997	1000	50%	2009-01-30	Won
1029	1259	21%	2008-10-08	Lost
1096	1098	50%	2008-05-17	Won
1098	1096	50%	2008-04-22	Lost
977	1405	8%	2008-04-12	Lost
1036	1012	53%	2008-03-30	Won
997	1108	35%	2008-02-22	Won
933	1045	34%	2008-01-18	Lost

Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1005.5 vs 1055.9 has a 42.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).