The Darkest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2018-03-31 | Won |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2017-02-18 | Won |
| 937 | 898 | 56% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-10-16 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1116 | 50% | 2008-08-06 | Won |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2008-06-15 | Won |
| 829 | 980 | 30% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 976 | 1400 | 8% | 2008-04-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2008-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1050 vs 1061.4 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).