Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
943 | 943 | 50% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
1000 | 992 | 51% | 2022-02-22 | Lost |
1060 | 987 | 60% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
986 | 1067 | 39% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
964 | 1249 | 16% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
873 | 1109 | 20% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
873 | 1109 | 20% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
934 | 1075 | 31% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
1074 | 1006 | 60% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
1068 | 1143 | 39% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
896 | 943 | 43% | 2012-05-25 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2011-08-21 | Lost |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2011-02-03 | Won |
1131 | 1228 | 36% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
1138 | 943 | 75% | 2010-05-08 | Lost |
984 | 985 | 50% | 2010-04-25 | Lost |
984 | 985 | 50% | 2010-03-25 | Won |
1055 | 878 | 73% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-06-27 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-06-11 | Won |
1285 | 1030 | 81% | 2008-05-27 | Tied |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1034.1 vs 1035.1 has a 49.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).