The First Bid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (2 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
977 | 1090 | 34% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2008-04-20 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1003.5 vs 1091.5 has a 37.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).