Forging Spetsnaz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (20 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1152 | 54% | 2020-10-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 1038 | 43% | 2018-07-21 | Lost |
| 1225 | 988 | 80% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 997 | 1023 | 46% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1238 | 962 | 83% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1083 | 1099 | 48% | 2015-06-11 | Lost |
| 984 | 976 | 51% | 2014-06-28 | Won |
| 1042 | 1132 | 37% | 2014-04-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 1031 | 35% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1263 | 30% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1144 | 984 | 72% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-02-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1208 | 22% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1044 | 53% | 2010-07-17 | Won |
| 1146 | 1065 | 61% | 2010-01-14 | Won |
| 1077 | 1150 | 40% | 2008-12-22 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1171 | 58% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1065 | 61% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1090 | 959 | 68% | 2007-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1080.3 vs 1077.3 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).