Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (21 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 55
Defender wins (Russian): 50
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1011 | 48% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
977 | 992 | 48% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
1083 | 1094 | 48% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
1030 | 1009 | 53% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
935 | 905 | 54% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
1006 | 881 | 67% | 2016-12-07 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-12-04 | Won |
1013 | 851 | 72% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | Won |
895 | 915 | 47% | 2016-08-11 | Won |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2015-12-22 | Won |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
1083 | 1017 | 59% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
977 | 1146 | 27% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
1087 | 1007 | 61% | 2013-02-09 | Lost |
1028 | 1087 | 42% | 2012-09-14 | Won |
1049 | 1090 | 44% | 2008-01-19 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2006-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1017.5 vs 1002.1 has a 52.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).