Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1010 | 48% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
977 | 994 | 48% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
1069 | 1093 | 47% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
1043 | 1009 | 55% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
935 | 905 | 54% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
1003 | 881 | 67% | 2016-12-07 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2016-12-04 | Won |
1021 | 851 | 73% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-09-18 | Won |
896 | 915 | 47% | 2016-08-11 | Won |
970 | 1158 | 25% | 2015-12-22 | Won |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
1069 | 1051 | 53% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
943 | 1146 | 24% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
1138 | 1008 | 68% | 2013-02-09 | Lost |
1142 | 1138 | 51% | 2012-09-14 | Won |
1049 | 1091 | 44% | 2008-01-19 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2006-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1022.5 vs 1013.8 has a 51.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).