Through Fire And Ice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (11 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Finnish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 850 | 70% | 2023-12-13 | Lost |
| 1233 | 996 | 80% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 943 | 1233 | 16% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1101 | 68% | 2011-05-22 | Won |
| 1303 | 1160 | 69% | 2010-03-19 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1167 | 29% | 2009-05-23 | Won |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2008-11-24 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1085 | 57% | 2008-11-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1136 | 44% | 2008-02-22 | Won |
| 1049 | 1061 | 48% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1028 | 66% | 2007-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1101.2 vs 1082 has a 52.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).