Freeing the Roadway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (7 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
979 | 996 | 48% | 2022-07-12 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
1003 | 1084 | 39% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
1005 | 1075 | 40% | 2009-05-18 | Lost |
1069 | 986 | 62% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
1003 | 1096 | 37% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
1054 | 1091 | 45% | 2007-11-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1063 has a 45.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).