On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American/British): 8
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1009 | 51% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1062 | 80% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 926 | 79% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
| 1050 | 1081 | 46% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
| 1050 | 1035 | 52% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 945 | 1243 | 15% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1061 | 1132 | 40% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 1136 | 16% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 987 | 1075 | 38% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1042 | 924 | 66% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1012 | 60% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
| 945 | 1050 | 35% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
| 755 | 997 | 20% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
| 1160 | 1010 | 70% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1272 | 20% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 1278 | 1160 | 66% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1057.7 has a 48.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).