On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American/British): 8
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1018 | 1048 | 46% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
1307 | 1042 | 82% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
1123 | 927 | 76% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
1138 | 1081 | 58% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
1138 | 1035 | 64% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
1018 | 1244 | 21% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
1049 | 1133 | 38% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
880 | 1107 | 21% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
986 | 1075 | 37% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
1042 | 900 | 69% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
1085 | 1087 | 50% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
946 | 1138 | 25% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
778 | 997 | 22% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
1135 | 1009 | 67% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
1030 | 1272 | 20% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
1267 | 1135 | 68% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.5 vs 1064.9 has a 49.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).