The Bears of St. Denis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (4 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 18
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2021-08-11 | Won |
| 1090 | 1110 | 47% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 893 | 1091 | 24% | 2009-06-04 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1113 | 43% | 2008-09-29 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1071.3 has a 47.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).