The Bears of St. Denis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (3 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 17
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1158 | 970 | 75% | 2021-08-11 | Won |
1090 | 1110 | 47% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
893 | 1091 | 24% | 2009-06-04 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1057 has a 48.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).