The Zebra Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
1311 | 1141 | 73% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
1069 | 1112 | 44% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
1138 | 1097 | 56% | 2017-02-18 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
1048 | 979 | 60% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
1090 | 1018 | 60% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
1105 | 991 | 66% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
1227 | 1019 | 77% | 2011-01-20 | Won |
1030 | 1006 | 53% | 2009-03-17 | Won |
1091 | 905 | 74% | 2008-04-10 | Won |
975 | 1078 | 36% | 2008-02-27 | Lost |
1026 | 1078 | 43% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1086.6 vs 1052.5 has a 54.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).