The Reluctant Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (6 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1102 | 33% | 2008-10-09 | Lost |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2008-09-22 | Lost |
| 1073 | 980 | 63% | 2008-09-18 | Won |
| 1023 | 1104 | 39% | 2007-12-06 | Lost |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-11-15 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1001 | 55% | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1002.7 vs 1030.3 has a 46.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).