Heroic Defense of Wake
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (4 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2017-12-22 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2017-06-01 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2017-06-01 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1219 | 25% | 2007-07-12 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1073.5 has a 50.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).