Out of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (13 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 950 | 46% | 2023-02-26 | Won |
1429 | 1427 | 50% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
989 | 1021 | 45% | 2020-01-25 | Lost |
950 | 1041 | 37% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
1026 | 950 | 61% | 2017-09-19 | Won |
1026 | 950 | 61% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
950 | 881 | 60% | 2016-08-24 | Tied |
1161 | 1216 | 42% | 2013-10-26 | Lost |
984 | 1157 | 27% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
1003 | 871 | 68% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1034.6 vs 1036.2 has a 49.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).