Out of Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (14 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1250 | 15% | 2024-12-18 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2023-02-26 | Won |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 989 | 1021 | 45% | 2020-01-25 | Lost |
| 948 | 1053 | 35% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
| 959 | 948 | 52% | 2017-09-19 | Won |
| 959 | 948 | 52% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 948 | 881 | 60% | 2016-08-24 | Tied |
| 1160 | 1215 | 42% | 2013-10-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 1149 | 28% | 2008-02-23 | Lost |
| 1001 | 872 | 68% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1034.4 vs 1051.4 has a 47.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).