Flea Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
959 | 1283 | 13% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
1003 | 1023 | 47% | 2014-05-11 | Lost |
1185 | 1135 | 57% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
985 | 933 | 57% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
1188 | 1075 | 66% | 2008-12-06 | Lost |
1006 | 992 | 52% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1068.6 has a 49.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).