Flea Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (8 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 929 | 1217 | 16% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1001 | 77% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1001 | 969 | 55% | 2014-05-11 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1127 | 45% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
| 1129 | 931 | 76% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1197 | 1127 | 60% | 2008-12-06 | Lost |
| 1007 | 982 | 54% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1082.1 vs 1055.3 has a 53.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).