Agony at Arnautovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
1130 | 1169 | 44% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
999 | 1048 | 43% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
1051 | 1068 | 48% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
983 | 977 | 51% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
1074 | 1093 | 47% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
1092 | 1001 | 63% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
1077 | 969 | 65% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
1019 | 1009 | 51% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
1055 | 1018 | 55% | 2010-12-21 | Won |
989 | 1056 | 40% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
950 | 1005 | 42% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
1173 | 1307 | 32% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
983 | 1035 | 43% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
1008 | 1137 | 32% | 2008-07-10 | Lost |
992 | 998 | 49% | 2007-11-30 | Lost |
890 | 1092 | 24% | 2007-10-09 | Won |
1087 | 1183 | 37% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1060.7 has a 46.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).