Agony at Arnautovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
1131 | 1117 | 52% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
994 | 1046 | 43% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
984 | 959 | 54% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
1074 | 1115 | 44% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
1027 | 1001 | 54% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
1019 | 1093 | 40% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
1078 | 1019 | 58% | 2010-12-21 | Won |
989 | 1056 | 40% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
949 | 1001 | 43% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
1174 | 1323 | 30% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
934 | 1035 | 36% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
1008 | 1097 | 37% | 2008-07-10 | Lost |
992 | 998 | 49% | 2007-11-30 | Lost |
887 | 1027 | 31% | 2007-10-09 | Won |
1057 | 1183 | 33% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1058.4 has a 45.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).