Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (17 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
1037 | 1013 | 53% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
1124 | 914 | 77% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
1013 | 1025 | 48% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
1023 | 1027 | 49% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
985 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-06-18 | Lost |
1026 | 995 | 54% | 2010-11-18 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2008-11-27 | Won |
1118 | 1068 | 57% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
1281 | 971 | 86% | 2008-09-06 | Won |
1066 | 1004 | 59% | 2008-05-28 | Won |
1008 | 1037 | 46% | 2008-05-24 | Lost |
1124 | 1119 | 51% | 2007-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.4 vs 1011.9 has a 55.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).