The Valley of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (27 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1181 | 1287 | 35% | 2023-09-18 | Won |
| 917 | 917 | 50% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 970 | 1126 | 29% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1076 | 53% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 986 | 937 | 57% | 2021-04-12 | Won |
| 1216 | 1109 | 65% | 2020-10-16 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1184 | 1102 | 62% | 2019-01-02 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1138 | 51% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1148 | 917 | 79% | 2018-04-09 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1046 | 50% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
| 983 | 1044 | 41% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1168 | 1011 | 71% | 2012-06-26 | Won |
| 1002 | 987 | 52% | 2011-02-10 | Lost |
| 941 | 1002 | 41% | 2010-11-25 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1077 | 58% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 1098 | 988 | 65% | 2009-10-23 | Lost |
| 988 | 1098 | 35% | 2009-10-23 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1008 | 61% | 2009-08-22 | Lost |
| 903 | 1063 | 28% | 2008-08-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-06-29 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1100 | 41% | 2008-01-13 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1056 | 61% | 2007-11-26 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1167 | 35% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
| 1285 | 1310 | 46% | 2007-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1070.3 vs 1068 has a 50.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).