The Valley of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (25 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 37
Defender wins (Russian): 59
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1211 | 1311 | 36% | 2023-09-18 | Won |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
1016 | 1147 | 32% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
1002 | 929 | 60% | 2021-04-12 | Won |
1283 | 1096 | 75% | 2020-10-16 | Lost |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
1141 | 1100 | 56% | 2019-01-02 | Lost |
1149 | 1075 | 60% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-04-09 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
1018 | 1046 | 46% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
990 | 1014 | 47% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
1120 | 1022 | 64% | 2012-06-26 | Won |
1002 | 987 | 52% | 2011-02-10 | Lost |
872 | 1002 | 32% | 2010-11-25 | Lost |
1131 | 1048 | 62% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
990 | 1097 | 35% | 2009-10-23 | Lost |
1097 | 990 | 65% | 2009-10-23 | Lost |
1138 | 1008 | 68% | 2009-08-22 | Lost |
903 | 1069 | 28% | 2008-08-20 | Lost |
1131 | 1228 | 36% | 2008-06-29 | Lost |
1135 | 1063 | 60% | 2007-11-26 | Lost |
1069 | 1165 | 37% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2007-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1067.3 has a 50.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).