Stand For New Zealand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (29 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (New Zealand): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 948 | 59% | 2024-12-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 1250 | 15% | 2024-10-16 | Lost |
| 898 | 948 | 43% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 907 | 1029 | 33% | 2023-09-29 | Won |
| 893 | 880 | 52% | 2023-07-22 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1125 | 51% | 2023-06-23 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1144 | 54% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2022-05-10 | Lost |
| 881 | 948 | 40% | 2021-08-13 | Tied |
| 992 | 1057 | 41% | 2021-07-29 | Won |
| 945 | 964 | 47% | 2021-07-20 | Lost |
| 925 | 1018 | 37% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 1007 | 1149 | 31% | 2020-10-26 | Lost |
| 1026 | 989 | 55% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1041 | 90% | 2019-12-21 | Won |
| 948 | 1204 | 19% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
| 989 | 1021 | 45% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 1021 | 989 | 55% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 959 | 48% | 2017-06-04 | Lost |
| 881 | 948 | 40% | 2016-08-19 | Tied |
| 1038 | 1011 | 54% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1016 | 45% | 2012-10-07 | Lost |
| 983 | 1018 | 45% | 2012-06-13 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1039 | 48% | 2010-09-17 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1094 | 37% | 2008-12-12 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1063 | 67% | 2008-01-12 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1012.6 vs 1028.2 has a 47.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).