Stand For New Zealand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (29 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (New Zealand): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 943 | 59% | 2024-12-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 1266 | 13% | 2024-10-16 | Lost |
| 913 | 1015 | 36% | 2023-09-29 | Won |
| 856 | 880 | 47% | 2023-07-22 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-06-23 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1144 | 54% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 1160 | 943 | 78% | 2022-05-10 | Lost |
| 877 | 943 | 41% | 2021-08-13 | Tied |
| 993 | 1078 | 38% | 2021-07-29 | Won |
| 945 | 964 | 47% | 2021-07-20 | Lost |
| 925 | 1018 | 37% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1150 | 31% | 2020-10-26 | Lost |
| 1026 | 989 | 55% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1041 | 90% | 2019-12-21 | Won |
| 943 | 1214 | 17% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
| 989 | 1021 | 45% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 1021 | 989 | 55% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 943 | 1036 | 37% | 2017-06-04 | Lost |
| 877 | 943 | 41% | 2016-08-19 | Tied |
| 1038 | 1010 | 54% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1016 | 45% | 2012-10-07 | Lost |
| 983 | 987 | 49% | 2012-06-13 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1039 | 48% | 2010-09-17 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1254 | 21% | 2009-12-05 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1093 | 37% | 2008-12-12 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1053 | 65% | 2008-01-12 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1015.3 vs 1041.3 has a 46.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).