Last Ally, Last Victory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (35 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 52
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1055 | 1242 | 25% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
887 | 880 | 51% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2023-06-15 | Won |
943 | 963 | 47% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
969 | 1032 | 41% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
1159 | 1019 | 69% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
961 | 963 | 50% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
1047 | 993 | 58% | 2021-02-24 | Lost |
963 | 1249 | 16% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
1126 | 1137 | 48% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
1195 | 1158 | 55% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
1144 | 1186 | 44% | 2020-06-01 | Won |
1163 | 946 | 78% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
909 | 892 | 52% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
1187 | 1055 | 68% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
972 | 1050 | 39% | 2019-06-28 | Lost |
1004 | 1055 | 43% | 2017-12-29 | Won |
977 | 1154 | 27% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
1055 | 1021 | 55% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
974 | 1055 | 39% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
974 | 1055 | 39% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
969 | 892 | 61% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
882 | 1055 | 27% | 2016-09-15 | Lost |
1055 | 882 | 73% | 2016-08-18 | Tied |
1216 | 1201 | 52% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
990 | 1013 | 47% | 2012-05-02 | Won |
1216 | 892 | 87% | 2012-03-21 | Lost |
981 | 1055 | 40% | 2012-01-16 | Lost |
1135 | 997 | 69% | 2011-07-10 | Won |
1018 | 1039 | 47% | 2009-03-19 | Lost |
976 | 945 | 54% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-09 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-28 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1035.5 vs 1035.8 has a 49.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).