Last Ally, Last Victory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (36 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 53
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1009 | 41% | 2024-11-17 | Lost |
| 948 | 1250 | 15% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 893 | 880 | 52% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1125 | 51% | 2023-06-15 | Won |
| 943 | 1007 | 41% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 969 | 1031 | 41% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
| 1158 | 992 | 72% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 960 | 1007 | 43% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-24 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1218 | 23% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1137 | 48% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1149 | 54% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1163 | 47% | 2020-06-01 | Won |
| 1173 | 931 | 80% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
| 949 | 848 | 64% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
| 1204 | 948 | 81% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2019-06-28 | Lost |
| 1005 | 948 | 58% | 2017-12-29 | Won |
| 978 | 1154 | 27% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
| 948 | 1021 | 40% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 959 | 948 | 52% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
| 959 | 948 | 52% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
| 907 | 884 | 53% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 881 | 948 | 40% | 2016-09-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 881 | 60% | 2016-08-18 | Tied |
| 1215 | 1200 | 52% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1018 | 45% | 2012-05-02 | Won |
| 1215 | 884 | 87% | 2012-03-21 | Lost |
| 981 | 948 | 55% | 2012-01-16 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2011-07-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 1039 | 47% | 2009-03-19 | Lost |
| 977 | 919 | 58% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-28 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 1015.1 has a 51.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).