Monty's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 142 (61 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 37
Defender wins (British): 103
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1004 | 1004 | 50% | 2024-04-15 | Lost |
1213 | 984 | 79% | 2024-02-26 | Won |
1064 | 1108 | 44% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
1164 | 1171 | 49% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
1013 | 1035 | 47% | 2023-07-11 | Won |
1113 | 984 | 68% | 2023-07-04 | Lost |
1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2023-02-25 | Lost |
943 | 917 | 54% | 2022-12-01 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-08-28 | Lost |
879 | 858 | 53% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
1035 | 1013 | 53% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
858 | 1056 | 24% | 2021-09-06 | Lost |
1012 | 1143 | 32% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
1011 | 917 | 63% | 2021-04-12 | Lost |
930 | 1042 | 34% | 2021-02-05 | Lost |
1052 | 1047 | 51% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
982 | 917 | 59% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
943 | 919 | 53% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
1168 | 1159 | 51% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
1178 | 992 | 74% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
1178 | 984 | 75% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
1175 | 1178 | 50% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
892 | 920 | 46% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
984 | 1152 | 28% | 2019-09-12 | Lost |
1026 | 989 | 55% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
1009 | 1131 | 33% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2018-07-12 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
885 | 890 | 49% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
890 | 885 | 51% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
1045 | 990 | 58% | 2018-06-22 | Lost |
1128 | 1183 | 42% | 2017-11-12 | Won |
1077 | 1049 | 54% | 2016-09-15 | Lost |
881 | 984 | 36% | 2016-09-11 | Lost |
1073 | 1131 | 42% | 2016-05-01 | Lost |
847 | 1028 | 26% | 2015-09-12 | Won |
1013 | 1018 | 49% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
1360 | 943 | 92% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-12-14 | Lost |
868 | 847 | 53% | 2014-07-21 | Lost |
1079 | 1061 | 53% | 2014-07-18 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-05-07 | Lost |
1042 | 984 | 58% | 2013-05-03 | Lost |
1429 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-04-01 | Won |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
990 | 1045 | 42% | 2012-02-08 | Lost |
956 | 1044 | 38% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
1022 | 1062 | 44% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
1003 | 1012 | 49% | 2010-03-15 | Lost |
1006 | 915 | 63% | 2009-07-20 | Lost |
1040 | 990 | 57% | 2009-03-22 | Lost |
992 | 984 | 51% | 2009-02-22 | Won |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2008-11-10 | Won |
1062 | 940 | 67% | 2008-03-29 | Won |
1157 | 966 | 75% | 2008-02-22 | Lost |
871 | 1003 | 32% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-07-14 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-09 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1032.8 vs 1018.6 has a 52.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).