Another Summer's Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (31 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 51
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
984 | 1213 | 21% | 2024-02-13 | Lost |
1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2023-05-15 | Won |
940 | 940 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-12-23 | Lost |
917 | 981 | 41% | 2021-10-31 | Won |
1159 | 1168 | 49% | 2021-04-29 | Lost |
1047 | 993 | 58% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
960 | 1157 | 24% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
1159 | 1210 | 43% | 2019-12-08 | Won |
1152 | 984 | 72% | 2019-09-03 | Won |
1026 | 989 | 55% | 2019-06-26 | Won |
1131 | 1082 | 57% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
1021 | 989 | 55% | 2018-03-30 | Lost |
1183 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-11-11 | Won |
984 | 881 | 64% | 2016-08-08 | Tied |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-11-27 | Lost |
1018 | 1013 | 51% | 2014-05-11 | Lost |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-05-01 | Lost |
984 | 1042 | 42% | 2013-05-02 | Lost |
1044 | 1155 | 35% | 2012-02-03 | Lost |
990 | 1045 | 42% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
968 | 1216 | 19% | 2010-06-26 | Lost |
990 | 1040 | 43% | 2009-05-19 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-03-01 | Lost |
1115 | 984 | 68% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-23 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-23 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1056.8 has a 47.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).