Joseph 351
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (Allies): 16
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1237 | 1003 | 79% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2023-05-10 | Lost |
1027 | 989 | 55% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
1003 | 981 | 53% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
1113 | 1003 | 65% | 2022-03-24 | Tied |
1431 | 1049 | 90% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
979 | 1038 | 42% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
1143 | 1159 | 48% | 2021-09-26 | Lost |
925 | 1043 | 34% | 2021-08-03 | Won |
1141 | 1041 | 64% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
1000 | 965 | 55% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
1026 | 989 | 55% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
1000 | 1003 | 50% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
899 | 1032 | 32% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
1189 | 1128 | 59% | 2017-07-24 | Lost |
961 | 964 | 50% | 2017-07-15 | Won |
1034 | 881 | 71% | 2016-06-15 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-04-10 | Won |
1017 | 964 | 58% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
977 | 1003 | 46% | 2013-09-26 | Won |
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
1014 | 990 | 53% | 2011-12-21 | Lost |
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2011-04-24 | Won |
1007 | 1094 | 38% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
1022 | 889 | 68% | 2010-09-28 | Lost |
895 | 1216 | 14% | 2010-06-26 | Lost |
1047 | 993 | 58% | 2010-02-24 | Tied |
1216 | 914 | 85% | 2009-12-23 | Lost |
1017 | 1115 | 36% | 2008-12-10 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-28 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1058.9 vs 1033.3 has a 53.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).