Big, Bad, Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (12 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 41
Defender wins (Italian): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1234 | 16% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1191 | 24% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 966 | 966 | 50% | 2011-07-16 | Won |
| 1060 | 1160 | 36% | 2009-09-25 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1116 | 53% | 2008-09-19 | Won |
| 996 | 932 | 59% | 2008-04-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 1153 | 27% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1430 | 1160 | 83% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1234 | 27% | 2007-09-08 | Won |
| 1430 | 972 | 93% | 2007-03-31 | Won |
| 1234 | 862 | 89% | 2007-02-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1103.1 vs 1094.2 has a 51.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).