Big, Bad, Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (10 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 39
Defender wins (Italian): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
949 | 1307 | 11% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
987 | 1141 | 29% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
969 | 969 | 50% | 2011-07-16 | Won |
1004 | 1075 | 40% | 2009-09-25 | Lost |
996 | 1003 | 49% | 2008-04-25 | Lost |
992 | 1154 | 28% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
1398 | 1274 | 67% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
1092 | 1307 | 22% | 2007-09-08 | Won |
1398 | 982 | 92% | 2007-03-31 | Won |
1307 | 917 | 90% | 2007-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1109.2 vs 1112.9 has a 49.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).