The Battle for St. Cloud
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (Vichy French): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1136 | 63% | 2007-07-14 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1229 | 28% | 2007-06-27 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1051 | 52% | 2007-06-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1018 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1099 vs 1108.5 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).