Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (19 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
964 | 1012 | 43% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
1006 | 1074 | 40% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
1138 | 1020 | 66% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
1122 | 1154 | 45% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
1147 | 1169 | 47% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
1032 | 1018 | 52% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
1014 | 892 | 67% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
961 | 1141 | 26% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
992 | 948 | 56% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
1307 | 1031 | 83% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
1006 | 1047 | 44% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
1059 | 1311 | 19% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
960 | 1055 | 37% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
902 | 901 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
1003 | 994 | 51% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1035.1 vs 1056.2 has a 46.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).