The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (French): 9
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
910 | 1087 | 27% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
1020 | 1046 | 46% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
1028 | 933 | 63% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
936 | 1055 | 34% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
1307 | 1082 | 79% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
917 | 1307 | 10% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
1104 | 1284 | 26% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
1018 | 1244 | 21% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
1067 | 963 | 65% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
1013 | 990 | 53% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
1087 | 1085 | 50% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
995 | 979 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
979 | 1050 | 40% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
1106 | 969 | 69% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
1047 | 1345 | 15% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
1097 | 1127 | 46% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
1029 | 1018 | 52% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
1048 | 1094 | 43% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
1018 | 1055 | 45% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
1068 | 1062 | 51% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
928 | 1135 | 23% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1039.9 vs 1085.5 has a 43.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).