Dash for Mt. Croce
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (11 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1048 | 985 | 59% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Won |
1084 | 992 | 63% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
1036 | 1060 | 47% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
1142 | 916 | 79% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
994 | 889 | 65% | 2016-03-22 | Lost |
1074 | 1086 | 48% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
988 | 1025 | 45% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
1204 | 1037 | 72% | 2006-04-21 | Lost |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2006-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1070.2 vs 1012.9 has a 58.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).