Prussia in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (12 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 780 | 1162 | 10% | 2024-09-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 1023 | 41% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 1095 | 1024 | 60% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 959 | 880 | 61% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1129 | 52% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2007-02-06 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-02-06 | Lost |
| 921 | 1101 | 26% | 2007-01-20 | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-01-02 | Won |
| 1140 | 1132 | 51% | 2006-11-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1167 | 34% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1063.4 has a 44.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).