42nd Street
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 11
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
984 | 1036 | 43% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-12-29 | Won |
1000 | 993 | 51% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
1000 | 904 | 63% | 2010-05-19 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-05-12 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 998.2 vs 992.6 has a 50.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).