42nd Street
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 11
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
934 | 995 | 41% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
1102 | 1047 | 58% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
987 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
914 | 1058 | 30% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
1159 | 1214 | 42% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2014-12-29 | Won |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
1000 | 1057 | 42% | 2010-05-19 | Won |
1047 | 1102 | 42% | 2009-05-12 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1022.2 vs 1065.2 has a 43.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).