Making a Break for It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (6 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1171 | 1117 | 58% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
1052 | 1018 | 55% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
1058 | 1092 | 45% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
1097 | 1149 | 43% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
1031 | 1055 | 47% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1068.2 vs 1088 has a 47.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).