Scotch on the Rocks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (12 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 33
Defender wins (German): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 974 | 47% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 880 | 848 | 55% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
| 1219 | 1097 | 67% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
| 1088 | 878 | 77% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 1037 | 878 | 71% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1219 | 13% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1302 | 28% | 2016-12-26 | Lost |
| 612 | 877 | 18% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1064 | 61% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 991 | 959 | 55% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 1997-08-01 | Won |
| 1169 | 959 | 77% | 1996-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1014.4 vs 1004.6 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).