Scotch on the Rocks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (11 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
881 | 849 | 55% | 2019-05-28 | Won |
1283 | 1097 | 74% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
1055 | 880 | 73% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
1003 | 880 | 67% | 2018-04-17 | Won |
889 | 1283 | 9% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
1142 | 1307 | 28% | 2016-12-26 | Lost |
614 | 881 | 18% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
1141 | 1067 | 60% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
991 | 943 | 57% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
1138 | 1000 | 69% | 1997-08-01 | Won |
1075 | 959 | 66% | 1996-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1019.3 vs 1013.3 has a 50.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).