Lorraine Series #1: Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (5 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1155 | 28% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 1013 | 964 | 57% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1060 | 925 | 69% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
| 1035 | 1137 | 36% | 2006-12-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1069 | 41% | 2004-05-08 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 1050 has a 45.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).