Vulcan's Forge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (8 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (German): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1108 | 1089 | 53% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
941 | 989 | 43% | 2019-04-22 | Lost |
1284 | 950 | 87% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
850 | 977 | 32% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
1121 | 1307 | 26% | 2009-02-17 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-06-23 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-06-13 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1071.1 vs 1072.3 has a 49.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).