The Badger's Breath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (20 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 73
Defender wins (Canadian): 65
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
989 | 1018 | 46% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
988 | 1075 | 38% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
954 | 962 | 49% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
1084 | 1023 | 59% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
992 | 994 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
929 | 1118 | 25% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
1211 | 779 | 92% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
1006 | 938 | 60% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
1057 | 1307 | 19% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
1098 | 1398 | 15% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
1090 | 964 | 67% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
1022 | 1063 | 44% | 2009-02-16 | Lost |
909 | 1141 | 21% | 2008-08-01 | Won |
1141 | 1041 | 64% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
965 | 1030 | 41% | 2007-06-26 | Lost |
959 | 1019 | 41% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
1075 | 959 | 66% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
1030 | 1073 | 44% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
1285 | 1030 | 81% | 2007-01-23 | Won |
1078 | 1091 | 48% | 2005-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1043.1 vs 1051.2 has a 48.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).