The Badger's Breath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (26 on the archive and 120 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (Canadian): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1035 | 41% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1058 | 45% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1159 | 27% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 948 | 963 | 48% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 1063 | 1069 | 49% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1206 | 750 | 93% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 927 | 62% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1234 | 27% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1429 | 11% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 963 | 73% | 2010-09-24 | Won |
| 1110 | 977 | 68% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1015 | 1085 | 40% | 2009-02-16 | Lost |
| 910 | 1190 | 17% | 2008-08-01 | Won |
| 1190 | 1041 | 70% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 969 | 1036 | 40% | 2007-06-26 | Lost |
| 960 | 996 | 45% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1077 | 44% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1159 | 982 | 73% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1234 | 1060 | 73% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1269 | 1036 | 79% | 2007-01-23 | Won |
| 1175 | 1108 | 60% | 2006-06-23 | Won |
| 1209 | 1023 | 74% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2005-11-01 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1051 | 66% | 2005-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1060.7 vs 1052.4 has a 51.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).