The Five Pound Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 221 (29 on the archive and 192 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 96
Defender wins (British): 125
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 989 | 59% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1065 | 1107 | 44% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1046 | 80% | 2022-06-18 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1193 | 63% | 2022-06-18 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1181 | 31% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1181 | 44% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2018-08-17 | Won |
| 902 | 1114 | 23% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1064 | 53% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 971 | 1158 | 25% | 2016-01-15 | Won |
| 999 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1223 | 28% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1147 | 1139 | 51% | 2014-07-01 | Won |
| 1004 | 1100 | 37% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
| 946 | 1087 | 31% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1067 | 61% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
| 1082 | 901 | 74% | 2010-03-17 | Won |
| 1031 | 939 | 63% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1225 | 1400 | 27% | 2008-05-18 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1056 | 61% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2006-09-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1310 | 13% | 2006-03-24 | Won |
| 940 | 1043 | 36% | 2006-03-17 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1310 | 46% | 2006-01-30 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2005-07-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1218 | 34% | 2005-05-14 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1091.5 vs 1104.2 has a 48.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).