The Five Pound Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 218 (26 on the archive and 192 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 96
Defender wins (British): 122
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1068 | 990 | 61% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
1043 | 1067 | 47% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
1311 | 1154 | 71% | 2022-06-18 | Lost |
1138 | 1211 | 40% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
1014 | 1211 | 24% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2018-08-17 | Won |
921 | 1109 | 25% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
1138 | 1063 | 61% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
970 | 1158 | 25% | 2016-01-15 | Won |
999 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
1059 | 1225 | 28% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
815 | 1090 | 17% | 2014-07-01 | Won |
1006 | 1105 | 36% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
944 | 1138 | 25% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
1143 | 1068 | 61% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
952 | 967 | 48% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
1091 | 902 | 75% | 2010-03-17 | Won |
1055 | 938 | 66% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
1225 | 1398 | 27% | 2008-05-18 | Lost |
1135 | 1063 | 60% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
1016 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
1016 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
1307 | 1110 | 76% | 2006-09-09 | Lost |
982 | 1307 | 13% | 2006-03-24 | Won |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2006-01-30 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2005-07-27 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1077.7 vs 1105 has a 46.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).