The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (13 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 43
Defender wins (German (SS)): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1138 | 1022 | 66% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
964 | 958 | 51% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
948 | 938 | 51% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
1398 | 974 | 92% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
1012 | 994 | 53% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
1026 | 1211 | 26% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
1031 | 1307 | 17% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
1105 | 985 | 67% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
1018 | 1078 | 41% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
1078 | 1012 | 59% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
1273 | 1075 | 76% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1080.6 vs 1047.8 has a 54.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).