Pesky Pachyderms
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (8 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2023-10-18 | Lost |
| 993 | 924 | 60% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1068 | 1223 | 29% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1120 | 38% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 904 | 1160 | 19% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1040 | 68% | 2006-04-17 | Won |
| 1045 | 989 | 58% | 2006-01-13 | Won |
| 1218 | 1064 | 71% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.4 vs 1065.5 has a 48.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).